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Property Deals Soar 60 percent to 8 month Peak
April 2009

Property purchases in Hong Kong last month surged nearly 60 per cent to the highest in eight months, as previously nervous buyers bet the market might be near its drought from its double-digit percentage fall in prices.  There were 8,062 property transactions - including residential, office, industrial and car parks - lodged with the Land Registry last month.  Among them, home purchases rose 58.28 per cent to 7,102, beating a forecast by property agents. But the number of residential transactions still fell 25.63 per cent year on year.

The Land Registry said total transaction values rose 80.1 per cent month on month to HK$28.59 billion.  Total home sales value was HK$25.45 billion, up 86.81 per cent from February's HK$13.62 billion.

Property agents said home seekers and long-term investors emerged, boosting both the new and second-hand housing markets.  Home prices fell about 19 per cent from last year's peak in March, the Centaline City Leading Index shows.

Despite optimism prevailing in the market, Hang Seng Bank warned in a new research report that home prices would fall a further 13 per cent in the next eight months, bringing the drop this year to 18 per cent. The lender based the forecast on continuing uncertainty about the city's economic performance.

"It may be too soon to be overly optimistic, as property prices tend to fluctuate in tandem with economic performance, and it is clear the near-term economic outlook is bleak," Hang Seng said in its Economic Focus report yesterday.

The bank said Hong Kong's real gross domestic product would contract 3 per cent this year while unemployment would rise to a peak of about 7 per cent and average 6.3 per cent.

"With job losses mounting and income falling, property prices are likely to come under pressure, although the relatively tight future supply and favourable affordability should provide some buffers," Hang Seng Bank said.

The bank said sustainable recovery was out of reach until the global economy and financial system were fully repaired, which seemed to be inconceivable in the near term.


Source: South China Morning Post
 

 

 
 
 
 

   

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