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Home Sales Soar as Buyers Shrug Off Flu
May 17, 2009

Buyers shrugged off concerns over the outbreak of the swine flu and turned out in force to drive deal-making in the secondary market up by about 50 per cent last week.  Data collated from 50 large housing estates monitored by Ricacorp Properties shows transactions rose 49.16 per cent to 443 for the week, compared with 297 recorded in the previous week. Average transaction prices edged up 0.4 per cent week on week.

The turnout of buyers was welcomed by agents who feared that prospective buyers could turn cautious because of the outbreak of the flu virus.

David Chan Tai-wai, a director at Ricacorp, said the sales performance suggested there was no widespread concern, while the wealth effect owing to the rising stock market also gave the market a lift.

In the primary market, sales totalled about 100 units over the weekend, largely because new mortgage plans launched attracted buyers.

Along with improving transactions, average home prices in the secondary market have increased 11.1 per cent since the beginning of the year, the Centa-City Leading Index shows.  But analyst Nicole Wong urged caution about the present recovery.

The rebound in prices and deals was partly a reaction to the very sharp price declines within a short period in the fourth quarter of last year, which could be expected to trigger bargain hunting, said Ms Wong, who is head of Hong Kong and China property research for investment bank CLSA.  For the foreseeable future property prices would remain at current levels at best, Nicole Wong urged caution about the present recovery.

"Without economic or job market expansion, residential rent - which is almost a pure proxy of income - will stagnate at best, fall at worst," Ms Wong wrote in a report.

Given the backdrop of a bottomed-out mortgage rate, she believes that investors' tolerance of falling rental yields may not last long should property prices continue to climb while rents remain stagnant or even fall. Therefore buying interest would eventually lose steam, ending the rally.

Source: South China Morning Post
 

 

 
 
 
 

   

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